Home Real Estate Why Home Prices Have Not Crashed – YET

Why Home Prices Have Not Crashed – YET

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Why Home Prices Have Not Crashed – YET

Here is why home prices have not crashed yet
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46 COMMENTS

  1. In Alberta where I am , inventory is low, interest rates are high, and there's no way to reduce prices on new builds, new homes are more expensive by $100,000 . Where the presenter here is wrong is to believe that average sale price is a meaningful number, it doesn't tell you what is happening to home prices, it's telling you what price point the buyer is buying at. So buyers who would have bought a townhouse might be buying an apartment

  2. I believe banking institutions are more dangerous than standing armies….if the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of currency… the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of their property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." quote from Thomas Jefferson

  3. Well, foreclosures up from 2021 does not mean much since there were not many in 2021 to begin with. Prices down 15 or some percent does also not seem to be much considered how much growth there was over the last few years. It's like gas, was at $2.00, went to $5.00 … Now at $3.75.

  4. @Andrei – Fed selling MBS is another reason for the increasing spread. That in addition to credit risk you covered. Wealth effect is the reason why Silicon Valley housing is down 15% – 20% from peak. Very few can afford to buy homes from savings and most tech stocks are down 50%-90%.

  5. So glad I found this page!!! Andrei, great articulation on a complicated subject for avg guys like myself to understand. Headed back to ur vids to further my understanding of our pyramid system that we’re always on the bottom leg of the “k” recovery. Thnx again

  6. Andrei,

    A very interesting video. What are your thoughts on rising interest rates and hopefully falling prices being a potential advantage for buyers who have down money? Would it not be true that low down people are going to be pushed out of the market to a degree? Say for example you are someone who had 20% down when the market was hot. You might have more leverage in a declining market despite the mortgage rate increases? If the market drops 25% then your down percentage would be higher and the interest rate increase would not impact you like it would someone with a very low down.

    Bill

  7. Thanks<, for the update I always appreciate the insight. <I'm really blown away by the fact that having watched your videos for so long, I had the same opinion that you are putting effort in this video. <The sudden plunge in the crypto market is being attributed to the Fed’s expected interest rate hike in September. Bitcoin is on a uptrend and has dropped by 4% in the past 24 hours, the key areas of support are the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the low in June to recent high. The second level is in the golden pocket region around $20.5k. I think bitcoin will continue its wild swings between $21-24.5K the market dynamics of the last few days, as of now, two significant developments are on the horizon for bitcoin. My hope is that by the fourth quarter, the economy will be slowing enough that the Fed says we are going to pause, and then you will see the next crypto cycle start. I have witnessed the last 3 cycles and just before each bull run the amount of bear posts and negativity around crypto is just like it is now. Bitcoin is entering the area of where a bottom will be formed IMO. Please note this could take months and there will likely be further volatility in both directions. Despite the volatility that has ruled the market this year, being a retail trader in the crypto market and implementing strategies/signals from leandro Strategy a professional broker/trader that has been my mentor, I have accumulated 12' btc! in profits although the rates are capricious wiping out some of my profits, people who are open to learning from history, will survive It’s not that difficult. You can reach out to Mr Leandro on <ͲeIєɠɾαm his personal handle is @leandrostrategy1'.`~

  8. Find your knowledge fantastic and the way that you explain is a great help. <I would love to know how you studied this all. <In as much I would like to add to what you have said here the market is in a tug of war with the bull at one side and the bears at the other end. If this is really a bear market rally then Bitcoin is not done going down, just like stocks are not done going down. We are seeing the positions filled, the price goes, up, then a new wave of selling comes in, hit the new orders again and repeat, looks like someone accumulating hard. From a technical perspective, as expected, the price might continue to move lower so this is a normal process and bitcoin is accumulating bullish trading volume. My hope is that by the fourth quarter, the economy will be slowing enough that the Fed says we are going to pause, and then you will see the next crypto cycle start. I have witnessed the last 3 cycles and just before each bull run the amount of bear posts and negativity around crypto is just like it is now. Bitcoin is entering the area of where a bottom will be formed IMO. Please note this could take months and there will likely be further volatility in both directions. Despite the volatility that has ruled the market this year, being a retail trader in the crypto market and implementing strategies/signals from Oliver Christopher a professional broker/trader that has been my mentor, I have accumulated 2.5' btc! in profits although the rates are capricious wiping out some of my profits, people who are open to learning from history, will survive It’s not that difficult. You can reach out to Mr Oliver on <ͲeIєɠɾαm his personal handle @oliversignals orr What'sapp ✙14044100654. For more investment related issues.

  9. Technically trades and investments are won solely dependent on how well it is handled. My bitcoin portfolio became 2x multiple after I allowed trained professional mr pen larry to handle my investments and ever since it’s been green on the charts for me. That could be you too only if you make the move now

  10. I began accumulating wealth when I started following up my investment properly, <The importance of mentorship from an expert cannot be under estimated. Without proper mentoring one tends to opt out of the market early after making lose. That is why I prefer trading with expert Rodger. His technique is mind blowing and highly profitable.

  11. look up "home interest rates over time"

    then look up "home prices over time"

    you will see there is ZERO correlation!!!

    look close at the last interest rate hikes to match what is going on in today's market. 1978-82

    Home prices continued to climb. Of course these channels already knows this the just wants utube $$$

  12. Given that stocks have been underperforming and given the present economy, is it better to invest into Real Estates or into Stocks. Which would yield better output. Considering a young mid income, short term person with not so much spare time.

  13. find your fantastic knowledge and the way that you explain is a great help. <I would love to know how you studied this all. <In as much I would like to add to what you have said here, the market is in a tug of war with the bull at one side and the bears at the other end. If this is really a bear market rally then Bitcoin is not done going down, just like stocks are not done going down. We are seeing the positions filled, the price goes, up, then a new wave of selling comes in, hit the new orders again and repeat, looks like someone accumulating hard. From a technical perspective, as expected, the price might continue to move lower so this is a normal process and bitcoin is accumulating bullish trading volume. My hope is that by the fourth quarter, the economy will be slowing enough that the Fed says we are going to pause, and then you will see the next crypto cycle start. I have witnessed the last 3 cycles and just before each bull run the amount of bear posts and negativity around crypto is just like it is now. Bitcoin is entering the area of ​​where a bottom will be formed IMO. Please note this could take months and there will likely be further volatility in both directions. Despite the volatility that has ruled the market this year, being a retail trader in the crypto market and implementing strategies/signals from Brooks Harrison a professional broker/trader that has been my mentor, I have accumulated 2.5' btc! in profits although the rates are capricious wiping out some of my profits, people who are open to learning from history, will survive It's not that difficult. You can reach out to Mr Brooks on <ͲeIєɠɾαm his personal handle @Brooksharrison or What'sapp +18065020996. For more investment related issues…..

  14. Solid intel. The market is being cornered on all sides it seems.

    Do you like that neighborhood in Vegas? Trying to figure out if it’s worth purchasing one of those loft style homes – there are several for sale currently.

  15. If you're not in the financial market space right now, you're making a huge mistake, I understand that it could be due to ignorance but if you want to make your money work for you, prevent inflation from eroding your savings, build generational wealth and cultivate good habits of financial knowledge then you must be in the market.

  16. In 2005, the "rate gap" widened big time, but home prices stayed elevated. You gotta talk about all the data, even if it doesn't fit your narrative, because accuracy matters. It also opened up in 2020 with home prices going up. They aren't always correlated. While I understand you're using several pieces of data to make a prediction, this isn't a good piece of data to use to argue your point due to it not following your basis consistent enough to become reliable.

    The M2 chart over the home price growth is similar that it's not directly correlated like you suggest. There isn't enough consistency that it stays true either. Even combined with the other data pieces you are showing, it's not as evident as you is being suggested as you mentioned later, "I'm not sure where home prices are going to go."

  17. I remember watching your videos during 2020 & all your roommates moved into your apartment together. Now you own two homes! We've never met, but I've learned a lot from you & I am so excited to hear that your doing good! Thanks for this video!

  18. Back in the good old days Americans had backbone enough to fight back when they are being screwed. Problem is anybody younger than 40 has never known a life not getting screwed.

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